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Bucks at the Break: A Statistical Deep Dive

February 17, 2025 by Last Word On Pro Basketball

Feb 2, 2025; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) drives to the basket against Memphis Grizzlies forward Jaren Jackson Jr. (13) in the first half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

The NBA All-Star break marks the unofficial midway point of the season, offering a prime opportunity to evaluate the Milwaukee Bucks’ performance so far. Despite flashes of dominance, inconsistency has kept them from solidifying themselves as a true contender. Here’s a deep dive into the most telling statistics from their first 53 games.

Bucks at the Break: A Statistical Deep Dive

The Greek Freak’s Dominance Continues

Once again, Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the driving force behind the Bucks’ offense. Averaging 31.8 points per game, he ranks second in the NBA in scoring, trailing only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. His impact extends beyond buckets, as he also contributes 12.2 rebounds per game, placing him in the league’s top five. His best individual performance came in a 59-point explosion against the Detroit Pistons.

Offense vs. Defense

The Bucks have remained a solid offensive team, posting an offensive rating of 113.6—good but not dominant compared to top-tier offenses. Their three-point shooting (38.7%) ranks second in the NBA, with Taurean Prince leading the charge at 46.2% from deep (second in the NBA). Additionally, their corner three percentage (44.4%) is the highest in the league, highlighting their ability to generate efficient perimeter looks.

However, the Bucks’ defensive identity has shifted significantly since trading for Damian Lillard. Once regarded as a defensive powerhouse, they now find themselves merely average on that end, with a defensive rating of 112.4 that ranks them in the middle of the pack. Brook Lopez remains a key presence in the paint with 1.9 blocks per game, ranking fourth in the league, but the overall defensive cohesion, especially on the perimeter, has declined. This transition from an elite defensive unit to a more balanced—but less dominant—team has left them searching for consistency.

The Bucks’ Shooting Paradox

The Milwaukee Bucks present one of the NBA’s most puzzling shooting profiles this season. While they’ve been great from beyond the arc with the second-best conversion rate (38.7%), they rank just 16th in attempts – a puzzling reluctance to maximize their most efficient weapon.

Although they’ve been solid across other areas – hitting 44% of their mid-range shots and converting 66.7% in the restricted area – their relatively low overall shot volume (87.3 attempts per game) and reluctance to fully embrace their three-point prowess suggests an offense that hasn’t fully optimized its shooting potential. This untapped offensive potential becomes even more critical when considering the team’s defensive inconsistencies and road struggles.

The Home-Road Divide

A glaring disparity exists between the Bucks’ home and road performances. At home (17-9, .654 win percentage), they have a +5.9 net rating, showing their dominance at Fiserv Forum. However, on the road, they hold a 11-15 record (.423 win percentage) with a -3.7 net rating, struggling to replicate their home success. The stark contrast in defensive rating (110.3 at home vs. 115.1 on the road) is a key factor in their inconsistent play.

The Path Forward for the Bucks After Break

As the Bucks enter the second half of the season, addressing their road struggles and defensive consistency will be crucial. Their pace of 100.3 suggests they are playing rather fast but might need to fine-tune their half-court execution, especially in crunch time. The addition of Kyle Kuzma brings a new dimension to Milwaukee’s roster. Kuzma’s durability and ability to create his own shot make him a valuable asset. His versatility alongside Giannis and Lillard adds another layer to the Bucks’ offensive attack, while his experience on a championship team in Los Angeles provides a winning mentality.

With the Bucks still fine-tuning their approach on both ends, the second half of the season will be about integrating these new pieces and solidifying their new identity.

© Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

The post Bucks at the Break: A Statistical Deep Dive appeared first on Last Word On Basketball.

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